Hamilton Academical vs Montrose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
1º
5º
2º
53
3º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamilton Academical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
EDI
0 - 3
HAM
23%
25%
53%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
KHE
0 - 2
HAM
34%
27%
40%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
HAM
1 - 0
COV
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
HAM
2 - 2
COV
58%
21%
22%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
LIV
1 - 1
HAM
66%
21%
14%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
MON
0 - 3
COV
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 3
MON
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
MON
0 - 2
KHE
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
ARB
3 - 0
MON
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CWB
1 - 1
MON
8%
17%
76%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |