Hamilton Academical vs Kelty Hearts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
1º
5º
2º
44
2º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamilton Academical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ALL
0 - 1
HAM
28%
27%
46%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
HAM
28%
26%
46%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 2
FAL
27%
25%
48%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BLA
1 - 3
HAM
23%
25%
52%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 0
QOS
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Kelty Hearts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KHE
0 - 2
MON
37%
26%
36%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FAL
2 - 2
KHE
77%
16%
7%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
KHE
1 - 0
STI
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
QOS
1 - 2
KHE
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
KHE
3 - 1
EDI
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |