Hamilton Academical vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
10º
10º
55
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
76% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamilton Academical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 1
QUE
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 3
HAM
28%
24%
48%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
HAM
5 - 2
STR
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
DUN
3 - 0
HAM
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
HAM
4 - 0
TRA
54%
20%
26%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
GRE
3 - 1
BRA
47%
24%
29%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
HIB
1 - 1
GRE
80%
14%
6%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
CLY
2 - 0
GRE
27%
25%
48%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 0
FAL
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
LIV
0 - 3
GRE
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |