Hamilton Academical vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamilton Academical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
HAM
1 - 1
LIV
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
HAM
1 - 2
ROS
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
HAM
31%
28%
40%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
HAM
5 - 1
ROS
49%
28%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
HAM
1 - 0
PAR
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 1
GRE
58%
24%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
GRE
3 - 4
STM
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
RAI
1 - 1
GRE
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 1
LIV
30%
26%
45%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 5
GRE
42%
23%
35%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |