Hamburger SV vs Wormatia Worms analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.7%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
3.9%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1980 |
HSV
3 - 2
KAI
64%
19%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1980 |
FCN
2 - 3
HSV
28%
25%
47%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1980 |
HSV
0 - 0
MSV
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1980 |
HSV
4 - 0
S04
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1980 |
NTT
1 - 0
HSV
59%
20%
21%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Wormatia Worms
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1980 |
OFC
7 - 1
WWO
68%
18%
14%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1980 |
WWO
3 - 2
ESV
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1980 |
SVS
3 - 2
WWO
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1980 |
WWO
1 - 2
BUR
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1980 |
BNE
2 - 1
WWO
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |