Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
47.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
HOF
2 - 2
HSV
62%
21%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
HSV
2 - 5
BVB
11%
18%
72%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
KOL
3 - 0
HSV
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
HAL
0 - 4
HSV
19%
22%
59%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
HSV
0 - 3
EIN
34%
25%
40%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
BRE
1 - 2
EIN
43%
24%
33%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
OSN
1 - 5
BRE
12%
17%
72%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
S04
3 - 1
BRE
52%
23%
26%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BRE
1 - 3
SCF
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
RBL
3 - 1
BRE
35%
23%
42%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |