Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
43.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
BVB
1 - 0
HSV
39%
27%
35%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2006 |
HSV
1 - 2
ARS
28%
28%
44%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
SVS
4 - 3
HSV
13%
22%
65%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
HSV
1 - 1
HER
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
OSA
1 - 1
HSV
49%
26%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
BRE
2 - 3
STU
67%
19%
14%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2006 |
CHL
2 - 0
BRE
63%
21%
16%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
PIR
1 - 1
BRE
8%
16%
76%
|
89 | 43 | 46 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
S04
2 - 0
BRE
34%
25%
41%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
BRE
2 - 1
LEV
60%
20%
20%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |