Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen analysis

Hamburger SV Werder Bremen
79 ELO 87
-2% Tilt 9.7%
251º General ELO ranking 186º
19º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
29.9%
Hamburger SV
26.8%
Draw
43.3%
Werder Bremen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
Hamburger SV
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
43.3%
Win probability
Werder Bremen
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hamburger SV
+5%
+10%
Werder Bremen

ELO progression

Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Aug. 1995
BYM
Bayern München
3 - 2
Hamburger SV
HSV
66%
20%
14%
79 86 7 0
17 Jun. 1995
BVB
B. Dortmund
2 - 0
Hamburger SV
HSV
66%
20%
14%
79 87 8 0
10 Jun. 1995
HSV
Hamburger SV
3 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt
EIN
37%
27%
37%
79 84 5 0
26 May. 1995
KAI
Kaiserslautern
4 - 1
Hamburger SV
HSV
68%
19%
13%
79 87 8 0
19 May. 1995
HSV
Hamburger SV
0 - 4
Köln
KOL
41%
26%
33%
79 82 3 0

Matches

Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Aug. 1995
BRE
Werder Bremen
1 - 1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
78%
15%
8%
87 69 18 0
17 Jun. 1995
BYM
Bayern München
3 - 1
Werder Bremen
BRE
48%
25%
27%
88 86 2 -1
10 Jun. 1995
BRE
Werder Bremen
2 - 1
Karlsruher SC
KSC
67%
20%
14%
87 84 3 +1
27 May. 1995
S04
Schalke 04
4 - 2
Werder Bremen
BRE
31%
27%
42%
88 80 8 -1
20 May. 1995
BRE
Werder Bremen
6 - 1
KFC Uerdingen 05
KFC
78%
15%
8%
88 73 15 0
X