Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1970 |
KOL
3 - 0
HSV
73%
16%
11%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1970 |
HSV
1 - 2
S04
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1970 |
ROT
8 - 1
HSV
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1970 |
HSV
1 - 5
BYM
34%
25%
41%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1970 |
KAI
2 - 0
HSV
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1970 |
BRE
1 - 1
MON
37%
27%
37%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1970 |
EIN
0 - 2
BRE
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1970 |
BRE
1 - 1
ROT
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1970 |
BRE
0 - 0
HER
41%
26%
34%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1970 |
STU
3 - 0
BRE
52%
23%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |