Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1970 |
S04
1 - 1
HSV
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1970 |
AAA
0 - 2
HSV
41%
25%
35%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1970 |
HSV
2 - 1
ROT
72%
17%
12%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1970 |
KAI
1 - 1
HSV
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1970 |
HSV
1 - 0
ROT
70%
17%
13%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1970 |
BRE
0 - 0
MSV
57%
23%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1970 |
BRE
1 - 0
HAN
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1970 |
EBT
1 - 2
BRE
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1970 |
S04
0 - 0
BRE
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1970 |
BRE
1 - 3
BVB
54%
23%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |