Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
27.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1966 |
KOL
5 - 1
HSV
55%
21%
25%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1966 |
HSV
2 - 0
MSV
62%
20%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1966 |
STU
1 - 3
HSV
29%
23%
48%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1966 |
HSV
4 - 1
KAI
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1966 |
HSV
1 - 2
BYM
57%
19%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1966 |
BRE
1 - 0
BVB
47%
23%
30%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1966 |
MON
0 - 7
BRE
30%
24%
46%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1966 |
BRE
3 - 1
KSC
72%
17%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1966 |
TAS
1 - 1
BRE
15%
18%
67%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1966 |
KAI
3 - 1
BRE
33%
24%
43%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |