Champions League 1/16
Global 5-1
Hamburger SV vs Valur Reykjavík analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
6.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
WWO
0 - 3
HSV
28%
25%
47%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
EIN
3 - 2
HSV
50%
24%
27%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
VAL
0 - 3
HSV
32%
25%
43%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
HSV
1 - 0
KAI
69%
17%
14%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1979 |
MSV
3 - 0
HSV
34%
26%
40%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Valur Reykjavík
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1979 |
IAA
3 - 1
VAL
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1979 |
VAL
0 - 0
IAA
59%
21%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
VAL
0 - 3
HSV
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
KAA
1 - 1
VAL
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
VAL
1 - 2
KEF
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |