Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 7-2
Hamburger SV vs Union Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
3.63
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
3%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
2%
7-3
0.5%
8-4
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
3.3%
6-3
0.9%
7-4
0.2%
8-5
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
4.5%
5-3
1.5%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
16.2%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
11.3%
9.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1963 |
S04
1 - 0
HSV
26%
22%
52%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1963 |
HSV
3 - 0
EIN
71%
16%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1963 |
KSC
0 - 4
HSV
29%
23%
48%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 1963 |
HSV
4 - 2
SAA
87%
9%
4%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1963 |
PRE
1 - 1
HSV
17%
21%
62%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Union Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1962 |
ULU
0 - 6
ACM
29%
23%
48%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1962 |
ACM
8 - 0
ULU
85%
10%
5%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |