Hamburger SV vs Tasmania Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
7.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1965 |
NEU
1 - 1
HSV
31%
21%
48%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1965 |
HSV
2 - 1
EBT
72%
16%
12%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1965 |
EIN
2 - 0
HSV
43%
22%
36%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1965 |
HSV
2 - 4
S04
71%
16%
13%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1965 |
MUN
4 - 1
HSV
49%
21%
31%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tasmania Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1965 |
TAS
0 - 2
BVB
26%
21%
53%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1965 |
MON
5 - 0
TAS
34%
24%
42%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 1965 |
TAS
2 - 0
KSC
50%
21%
29%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
TAS
2 - 3
WAB
80%
13%
7%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
TAS
2 - 2
TEN
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |