Bundesliga Playoffs Promotion Final
Global 1-6
Hamburger SV vs Stuttgart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
36.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
STU
3 - 0
HSV
41%
24%
36%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
SVS
0 - 1
HSV
11%
18%
71%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
HSV
2 - 1
SGF
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
SSV
1 - 5
HSV
12%
19%
69%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
HSV
2 - 2
PAD
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
STU
3 - 0
HSV
41%
24%
36%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
STU
1 - 1
HOF
34%
24%
42%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
M05
1 - 4
STU
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
STU
1 - 1
LEV
20%
22%
58%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
HER
2 - 1
STU
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |