Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 5-4
Hamburger SV vs Slavia Praha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1968 |
HSV
0 - 0
HER
58%
21%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1968 |
S04
2 - 3
HSV
35%
25%
39%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1968 |
HSV
3 - 0
AAA
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1968 |
HSV
2 - 0
MUN
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1968 |
KAI
0 - 1
HSV
35%
26%
40%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Slavia Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1968 |
SLP
5 - 0
WIE
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
WIE
1 - 0
SLP
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1967 |
SLP
2 - 2
KOL
41%
24%
35%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1967 |
KOL
2 - 0
SLP
72%
16%
12%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |