Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
BVB
0 - 2
HSV
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
HSV
0 - 2
ARB
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
LEV
3 - 0
HSV
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
HSV
2 - 1
HER
48%
25%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
KAI
2 - 1
HSV
39%
25%
36%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
SCF
2 - 0
STU
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
FCN
3 - 0
SCF
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
SCF
1 - 2
M05
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
BYM
3 - 1
SCF
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
SCF
3 - 2
RTV
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |