Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Saarbrücken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.9%
3.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1963 |
PRE
1 - 1
HSV
17%
21%
62%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1963 |
HSV
3 - 0
BVB
85%
9%
6%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 1963 |
WUP
0 - 1
HSV
17%
17%
66%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1963 |
HSV
1 - 0
SAA
90%
7%
3%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1963 |
BAY
2 - 5
HSV
14%
17%
69%
|
69 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1963 |
SAA
0 - 2
KOL
53%
20%
27%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1963 |
HSV
1 - 0
SAA
90%
7%
3%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1963 |
SAA
3 - 0
WOL
41%
20%
39%
|
43 | 73 | 30 | +3 |
| 12 May. 1963 |
SAA
5 - 1
VFR
80%
12%
8%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
SSF
0 - 2
SAA
46%
22%
32%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |