Europa League Semi-finals
Global 6-3
Hamburger SV vs Radnicki Nis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.3%
Win probability
4.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1%
8-0
1.7%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.3%
7-0
3.4%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.6%
6-0
5.8%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.2%
5-0
8.5%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.8%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
17%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.9%
5.2%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
5.2%
2.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1982 |
HSV
3 - 1
ARB
82%
12%
7%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1982 |
FCN
2 - 0
HSV
27%
24%
49%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1982 |
RAD
2 - 1
HSV
15%
20%
65%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1982 |
MON
1 - 3
HSV
38%
24%
39%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1982 |
HSV
1 - 1
STU
71%
16%
13%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Radnicki Nis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1982 |
RAD
2 - 1
HSV
15%
20%
65%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1982 |
RAD
3 - 0
DUN
26%
26%
48%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1982 |
DUN
2 - 0
RAD
81%
12%
8%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1981 |
FEY
1 - 0
RAD
90%
7%
3%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1981 |
RAD
2 - 0
FEY
17%
22%
61%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +2 |