Hamburger SV vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
KOL
0 - 0
HSV
36%
25%
39%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
COT
2 - 3
HSV
18%
20%
62%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
ERF
1 - 3
HSV
14%
18%
68%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
HSV
0 - 2
LAZ
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2014 |
HSV
2 - 0
AKB
58%
24%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
PAD
2 - 2
M05
27%
24%
49%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
RBL
2 - 1
PAD
40%
24%
36%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
PAD
3 - 1
EVE
17%
24%
59%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
PAD
0 - 1
WIG
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2014 |
PAD
5 - 0
TRA
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |