Hamburger SV vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
STU
1 - 0
HSV
44%
27%
30%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
HSV
1 - 1
ARB
68%
20%
12%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
WOL
1 - 1
HSV
33%
28%
40%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
HSV
1 - 0
BVB
56%
24%
21%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
HSV
3 - 2
LEV
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2008 |
MSV
0 - 1
COT
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
BRE
1 - 2
MSV
76%
15%
9%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
MSV
1 - 1
HAN
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
S04
2 - 1
MSV
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
MSV
1 - 1
ROS
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |