Hamburger SV vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1966 |
STU
1 - 3
HSV
29%
23%
48%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1966 |
HSV
4 - 1
KAI
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1966 |
HSV
1 - 2
BYM
57%
19%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1966 |
HAN
0 - 0
HSV
33%
23%
45%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1966 |
HSV
0 - 2
FCN
54%
22%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1966 |
MSV
2 - 1
BVB
41%
24%
35%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1966 |
MON
1 - 2
MSV
35%
25%
40%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1966 |
MSV
1 - 0
KSC
71%
16%
13%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1966 |
MSV
8 - 2
KSC
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1966 |
TAS
0 - 9
MSV
25%
24%
52%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |