Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 7-3
Hamburger SV vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1968 |
HSV
3 - 0
OFC
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1968 |
FCN
0 - 0
HSV
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
MET
1 - 4
HSV
42%
23%
35%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
HSV
3 - 1
KOL
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1968 |
BVB
3 - 1
HSV
60%
21%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1968 |
NÎM
0 - 0
MET
43%
27%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1968 |
MET
2 - 0
STR
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
MET
1 - 4
HSV
42%
23%
35%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
REN
2 - 0
MET
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1968 |
MET
7 - 3
FCR
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |