DFB Pokal Quarter-finals
Global 2-0
Hamburger SV vs Kickers Offenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
13.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1967 |
HSV
1 - 1
STU
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1967 |
OFC
0 - 0
HSV
39%
22%
39%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1967 |
EBT
2 - 0
HSV
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1967 |
HSV
1 - 3
KOL
48%
24%
27%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1967 |
MUN
2 - 0
HSV
59%
20%
20%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Kickers Offenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1967 |
OFC
2 - 0
PFO
85%
10%
5%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1967 |
OFC
0 - 0
HSV
39%
22%
39%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
BAY
1 - 1
OFC
37%
25%
37%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
SGF
0 - 0
OFC
36%
25%
39%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
OFC
2 - 3
SVS
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |