Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-1
Hamburger SV vs Keflavik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1976 |
HSV
3 - 1
EIN
52%
22%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
ROT
1 - 2
HSV
49%
24%
27%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1976 |
HSV
1 - 0
KAI
59%
21%
21%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
BRE
2 - 2
HSV
40%
27%
33%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1976 |
HSV
3 - 4
BVB
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Keflavik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
KEF
2 - 2
IAA
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
KEF
1 - 0
IAA
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1976 |
KEF
1 - 1
VIK
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1976 |
BRE
3 - 1
KEF
37%
25%
37%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 1976 |
KEF
1 - 0
VAL
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |