Hamburger SV vs Kaiserslautern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1976 |
HSV
3 - 1
F95
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1976 |
KFC
0 - 1
HSV
24%
28%
48%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1976 |
BYM
0 - 1
HSV
74%
17%
10%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1976 |
HSV
1 - 2
BRE
71%
17%
11%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
KSC
3 - 2
HSV
38%
27%
35%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1976 |
KAI
1 - 3
S04
55%
22%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1976 |
F95
5 - 1
KAI
44%
23%
33%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1976 |
KAI
1 - 2
KFC
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
BRE
3 - 2
KAI
31%
24%
45%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1976 |
KAI
3 - 1
KSC
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |