Europa League Final
Global 0-4
Hamburger SV vs IFK Göteborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.2%
6.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1982 |
HSV
5 - 0
BRE
78%
14%
9%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1982 |
DAR
2 - 2
HSV
21%
22%
57%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1982 |
GÖT
1 - 0
HSV
43%
22%
35%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1982 |
HSV
4 - 0
KAI
70%
17%
13%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1982 |
HSV
0 - 0
LEV
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Göteborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1982 |
GÖT
1 - 0
AIK
77%
16%
7%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
ELF
0 - 0
GÖT
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1982 |
GÖT
1 - 0
HSV
43%
22%
35%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1982 |
GÖT
2 - 1
NOR
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1982 |
GÖT
1 - 0
IKB
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |