Hamburger SV vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
HSV
0 - 4
KSC
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
WAL
2 - 2
HSV
33%
27%
41%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1987 |
HSV
3 - 3
HAN
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1987 |
BYM
6 - 0
HSV
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1987 |
HSV
5 - 2
S04
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1987 |
WAL
0 - 0
HOM
54%
23%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
HOM
3 - 2
BYM
16%
24%
59%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1987 |
BVB
2 - 0
HOM
69%
17%
13%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1987 |
HOM
1 - 1
LEV
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1987 |
STU
2 - 1
HOM
67%
18%
14%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |