Hamburger SV vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1975 |
BYM
1 - 0
HSV
67%
19%
15%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1975 |
CRV
1 - 1
HSV
59%
20%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1975 |
HSV
4 - 0
USA
92%
6%
2%
|
85 | 12 | 73 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
HSV
4 - 2
EIN
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
HSV
4 - 2
YOB
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1975 |
HER
3 - 0
KAI
60%
20%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1975 |
HER
1 - 0
AJA
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1975 |
HER
4 - 2
STU
67%
17%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
HAN
2 - 6
HER
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
HJK
1 - 2
HER
33%
25%
43%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |