Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 8-3
Hamburger SV vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
BYM
5 - 1
HSV
73%
17%
11%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1976 |
HSV
2 - 1
KOL
50%
23%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
TEN
1 - 1
HSV
40%
26%
34%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
KEF
1 - 1
HSV
22%
25%
53%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1976 |
HSV
0 - 2
EBT
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
MHE
1 - 1
HOM
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1976 |
HOM
2 - 2
AYR
57%
25%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1976 |
FAL
4 - 3
HOM
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
HOM
2 - 2
KIL
55%
25%
21%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
HOM
5 - 1
LOK
31%
25%
44%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |