Hamburger SV vs Hannover 96 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
12º
1º
33
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
38 | 64 |
1º
|
33.5% | |
|
1º
|
40 | 64 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 56 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 55 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 53 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 51 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 50 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 46 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 46 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 43 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 41 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 34 |
15º
|
34% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
16º
|
31% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 29 |
17º
|
41% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 25 |
18º
|
67.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
73% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
15% | 7% |
|
Mid-table
|
12% | 92% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ESB
2 - 1
HSV
20%
20%
61%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
HER
2 - 3
HSV
30%
23%
47%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
HSV
1 - 0
KOL
39%
23%
38%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
STB
2 - 1
HSV
23%
21%
56%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
HSV
2 - 0
AAA
85%
10%
5%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Hannover 96
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
HAN
2 - 2
PRE
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
SSV
0 - 1
HAN
21%
24%
55%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
HAN
0 - 3
MAG
45%
23%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
YOB
1 - 2
HAN
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
HAN
0 - 1
WAL
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |