Hamburger SV vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
12º
1º
26
4º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
38 | 64 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 64 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 57 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 56 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 53 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 52 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 51 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 49 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 46 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 43 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 41 |
14º
|
27% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
41.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 29 |
16º
|
40% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
17º
|
37% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
67% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
16.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
16.5% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ULM
1 - 1
HSV
19%
20%
61%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
HSV
2 - 2
DAR
54%
22%
24%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
KSC
1 - 3
HSV
35%
23%
42%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
HSV
2 - 2
S04
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
HSV
2 - 4
TWE
36%
24%
40%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SGF
1 - 0
HAN
34%
25%
41%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SGF
2 - 1
HER
26%
23%
51%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ULM
1 - 1
SGF
34%
26%
41%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SGF
2 - 3
KSC
28%
24%
49%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 0
SGF
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |