Hamburger SV vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1984 |
HSV
3 - 0
LEV
78%
13%
9%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1984 |
KFC
3 - 1
HSV
28%
25%
48%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1984 |
HSV
3 - 4
STU
63%
20%
17%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1984 |
HSV
7 - 2
BVB
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1984 |
KAI
0 - 2
HSV
45%
23%
32%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1984 |
FCN
2 - 1
F95
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1984 |
KOL
1 - 0
F95
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1984 |
F95
4 - 1
BYM
39%
24%
37%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1984 |
F95
4 - 1
MON
49%
22%
29%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1983 |
F95
1 - 1
RTV
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |