Hamburger SV vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
BVB
6 - 2
HSV
33%
24%
44%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1981 |
HSV
2 - 2
BYM
59%
20%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
KFC
0 - 3
HSV
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1981 |
HSV
2 - 1
MON
73%
16%
12%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1981 |
EBT
4 - 3
HSV
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
F95
3 - 1
STU
42%
24%
34%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1981 |
LEV
2 - 0
F95
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1981 |
SLB
1 - 0
F95
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
F95
3 - 1
ARB
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1981 |
S04
0 - 4
F95
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |