Hamburger SV vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
16.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
FCN
3 - 3
HSV
31%
26%
43%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1979 |
HSV
3 - 0
KAI
60%
20%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1979 |
DAR
1 - 2
HSV
32%
25%
43%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1979 |
HSV
2 - 2
BRE
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1979 |
HER
1 - 3
HSV
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1979 |
F95
3 - 1
BAN
71%
17%
13%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
F95
2 - 2
EBT
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1979 |
F95
3 - 3
FCN
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1979 |
KAI
3 - 0
F95
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1979 |
SER
1 - 1
F95
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |