Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 13-3
Hamburger SV vs FC Reipas Lahti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
95.3%
Win probability
4.81
Expected goals
10-0
0.9%
+10
0.9%
9-0
1.8%
10-1
0.5%
+9
2.3%
8-0
3.4%
9-1
1%
10-2
0.1%
+8
4.5%
7-0
5.7%
8-1
1.8%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
7.8%
6-0
8.3%
7-1
3%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
<0%
+6
11.8%
5-0
10.3%
6-1
4.4%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
15.6%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
2.7%
Draw
0-0
0.5%
1-1
1.2%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
2.7%
0.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
0.7%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.1%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
F95
3 - 1
HSV
43%
25%
32%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
HSV
0 - 2
STP
74%
15%
10%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1977 |
HSV
2 - 2
BYM
56%
21%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1977 |
STU
1 - 2
HSV
39%
25%
36%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1977 |
HSV
3 - 1
KAI
66%
19%
16%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Reipas Lahti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
FCR
1 - 7
LSO
20%
20%
60%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1976 |
LSO
12 - 2
FCR
90%
7%
3%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
WHU
3 - 0
FCR
90%
8%
3%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
FCR
2 - 2
WHU
9%
17%
74%
|
52 | 85 | 33 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
FCR
0 - 0
MFF
23%
21%
56%
|
51 | 80 | 29 | +1 |