Hamburger SV vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
12º
2º
28
6º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
37 | 64 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
38 | 62 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 57 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 54 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 54 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 53 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 51 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 49 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 47 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 46 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 44 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 43 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 41 |
14º
|
31% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 30 |
16º
|
35% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
17º
|
33% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 26 |
18º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
73.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
19.5% | 99% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SCF
2 - 1
HSV
59%
20%
21%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ELV
4 - 2
HSV
23%
21%
56%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
HSV
3 - 1
MAG
59%
21%
20%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
HSV
1 - 1
AGF
55%
22%
23%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
F95
0 - 3
HSV
40%
23%
37%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
HOF
2 - 1
FCN
74%
16%
11%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
FCN
8 - 3
SSV
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SGF
0 - 4
FCN
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
FCN
2 - 1
ING
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FCN
3 - 2
PRE
37%
25%
39%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |