Hamburger SV vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1966 |
ROT
1 - 1
HSV
16%
19%
65%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
HSV
2 - 0
MON
76%
15%
10%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1966 |
KSC
1 - 1
HSV
28%
23%
49%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1966 |
HSV
2 - 1
HAN
72%
17%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1966 |
MUN
1 - 1
HSV
61%
19%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1966 |
FCN
1 - 2
KAI
65%
19%
17%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
S04
1 - 0
FCN
32%
25%
43%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1966 |
FCN
3 - 1
MSV
60%
22%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1966 |
STU
1 - 0
FCN
33%
26%
42%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1966 |
KOL
2 - 1
FCN
60%
20%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |