Europa League 1/16
Global 10-1
Hamburger SV vs FC Brasov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1974 |
HSV
4 - 1
WUP
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1974 |
MSV
2 - 0
HSV
38%
27%
36%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1974 |
HSV
3 - 1
KOL
40%
25%
36%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1974 |
KAI
1 - 0
HSV
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
BOH
0 - 1
HSV
35%
25%
41%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FC Brasov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1974 |
BRA
3 - 1
FCO
69%
20%
12%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
BRA
3 - 0
BJK
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1974 |
BRA
1 - 2
ASA
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
BJK
2 - 0
BRA
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1974 |
FAR
1 - 0
BRA
53%
27%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |