Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
M05
0 - 0
HSV
35%
25%
41%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
HSV
2 - 0
FCN
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
HAN
1 - 1
HSV
39%
24%
37%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
HSV
2 - 0
HOF
48%
25%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LEV
2 - 2
HSV
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
AUG
1 - 0
MON
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
S04
3 - 1
AUG
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
AUG
2 - 0
WOL
31%
26%
44%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
STU
2 - 1
AUG
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
AUG
1 - 2
BYM
8%
16%
76%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |