Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 1-4
Hamburger SV vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1970 |
HSV
2 - 0
MSV
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1970 |
HSV
3 - 2
OFC
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1970 |
EBT
4 - 1
HSV
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1970 |
DZG
4 - 0
HSV
54%
22%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1970 |
HSV
1 - 1
BRE
57%
22%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1970 |
DZG
4 - 0
HSV
54%
22%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
DZG
6 - 1
FCB
81%
11%
7%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
FCB
2 - 0
DZG
23%
23%
54%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1970 |
S04
1 - 0
DZG
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1970 |
DZG
1 - 3
S04
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |