Champions League Last 16
Global 6-3
Hamburger SV vs Dinamo Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.3%
4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
BRE
1 - 1
HSV
28%
26%
46%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
HSV
3 - 0
KOL
59%
21%
20%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
HSV
2 - 1
VAL
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
WWO
0 - 3
HSV
28%
25%
47%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
EIN
3 - 2
HSV
50%
24%
27%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
DTB
3 - 0
LIV
14%
24%
63%
|
77 | 93 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
LIV
2 - 1
DTB
91%
7%
2%
|
77 | 93 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1978 |
DTB
1 - 0
HER
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1978 |
HER
2 - 0
DTB
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
NAP
1 - 1
DTB
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |