Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Hamburger SV vs Dynamo Kyiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
6.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1983 |
HSV
3 - 0
EIN
75%
15%
10%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1983 |
HSV
2 - 0
F95
80%
12%
7%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1983 |
ARB
2 - 0
HSV
22%
23%
55%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1983 |
DYN
0 - 3
HSV
39%
24%
38%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1983 |
HSV
3 - 0
LEV
82%
12%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Dynamo Kyiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1983 |
DYN
0 - 3
HSV
39%
24%
38%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
DYN
3 - 0
GCZ
60%
21%
18%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
GCZ
0 - 1
DYN
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1982 |
ASV
2 - 0
DYN
61%
21%
18%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1982 |
DYN
0 - 0
ASV
58%
22%
20%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |