UEFA Intertoto Cup Final
Global 5-1
Hamburger SV vs Dacia Chişinău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
11.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
DAC
1 - 1
HSV
23%
26%
51%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
HSV
4 - 0
AAA
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
FCN
0 - 2
HSV
41%
27%
33%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
HSV
0 - 3
RTV
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
BYM
1 - 2
HSV
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dacia Chişinău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
DAC
1 - 1
HSV
23%
26%
51%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
STG
0 - 1
DAC
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
DAC
0 - 1
STG
33%
28%
40%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
DAC
1 - 1
FKB
43%
29%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
FKB
1 - 1
DAC
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |