Europa League 1/16
Global 6-1
Hamburger SV vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1991 |
LEV
1 - 1
HSV
44%
27%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1991 |
HSV
0 - 1
WAT
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1991 |
MON
1 - 0
HSV
37%
28%
36%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1991 |
GÓR
0 - 3
HSV
49%
22%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1991 |
HSV
1 - 1
STU
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1991 |
CSK
1 - 0
HEB
85%
10%
4%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1991 |
YAN
1 - 3
CSK
32%
29%
39%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1991 |
CSK
2 - 1
LPL
79%
14%
8%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1991 |
PAR
1 - 1
CSK
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1991 |
SSO
2 - 2
CSK
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |