Europa League 1/16
Global 6-1
Hamburger SV vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1984 |
BRE
5 - 2
HSV
52%
23%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1984 |
HSV
4 - 0
ARB
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1984 |
EBT
3 - 1
HSV
27%
25%
48%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
HSV
2 - 0
SOU
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1984 |
HSV
3 - 2
KAI
72%
16%
12%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1984 |
CSK
4 - 0
CVA
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1984 |
SPA
0 - 0
CSK
55%
25%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
CSK
8 - 1
FKM
73%
16%
11%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
CSK
2 - 1
MON
51%
25%
25%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
MON
2 - 2
CSK
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |