Europa League 1/16
Global 5-1
Hamburger SV vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
14.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1975 |
HSV
2 - 1
HER
55%
22%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1975 |
BYM
1 - 0
HSV
67%
19%
15%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1975 |
CRV
1 - 1
HSV
59%
20%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1975 |
HSV
4 - 0
USA
92%
6%
2%
|
85 | 12 | 73 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
HSV
4 - 2
EIN
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1975 |
CRV
1 - 1
HSV
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
CRV
1 - 1
FCU
79%
13%
8%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
FCU
1 - 3
CRV
47%
23%
29%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1975 |
CRV
2 - 2
FTC
62%
19%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1975 |
FTC
2 - 1
CRV
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |