Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 5-4
Hamburger SV vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
37.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
HSV
2 - 2
STP
83%
11%
6%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
HSV
4 - 0
TBR
87%
9%
4%
|
69 | 40 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
BER
1 - 5
HSV
24%
22%
54%
|
68 | 31 | 37 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
HSV
3 - 0
VFB
87%
9%
4%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
HEI
2 - 5
HSV
26%
23%
52%
|
68 | 32 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1961 |
BUR
4 - 4
CHL
75%
14%
10%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1961 |
BUR
2 - 0
SHW
63%
19%
18%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1961 |
SHW
0 - 0
BUR
55%
20%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1961 |
BUR
1 - 1
BBU
75%
14%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1961 |
FUL
0 - 1
BUR
37%
23%
40%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |