Hamburger SV vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
8.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1981 |
KAI
1 - 1
HSV
46%
23%
30%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1981 |
HSV
4 - 2
EBT
78%
13%
8%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1981 |
HSV
2 - 1
RTV
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1981 |
MUN
0 - 0
HSV
21%
23%
55%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
KSC
1 - 1
HSV
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1981 |
BVB
0 - 2
EIN
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1981 |
KOL
1 - 0
BVB
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 1981 |
BVB
0 - 3
MON
54%
21%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1981 |
EIN
0 - 4
BVB
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
BVB
2 - 2
KOL
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |