Hamburger SV vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1969 |
BRE
1 - 1
HSV
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1969 |
HSV
2 - 2
BYM
39%
25%
37%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1969 |
STU
3 - 0
HSV
46%
25%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1969 |
HIB
2 - 1
HSV
56%
20%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1969 |
HSV
0 - 0
EBT
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1969 |
EIN
6 - 2
BVB
57%
21%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1969 |
BVB
2 - 0
MUN
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1969 |
KAI
1 - 2
BVB
34%
25%
41%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1969 |
BVB
1 - 1
HAN
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1969 |
MON
1 - 0
BVB
59%
21%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |